Nasdaq 100 Recovering? Biden-Trump Election Betting Spread Widens

2020 Election, Nasdaq Analysis, Biden-Trump Election Odds – Talking Points

  • Biden-Trump choosing betting averages continue to dilate forward of initial presidential debate
  • Technology bonds might arise again with direct for digital services as Covid-19 cases grow
  • Nasdaq index recuperation might be in a works, liberation might confront attrition during 11263.6


With reduction than a week until a initial US presidential debate, former Vice President and Democratic hopeful Joe Biden has successfully confirmed a gentle lead over President Donald Trump. RealClearPolitics’ betting averages for a choosing uncover a widest widespread between a dual possibilities given mid-August as US coronavirus cases surge.

2020 US Election Polls

Chart display Biden-Trump Spread

Source: RealClearPolitics

The US – after initial imagining in China, afterwards swelling to Europe and eventually North America – has been a viral hotbed of Covid-19. Confirmed cases of a coronavirus began to neatly arise in June. Perhaps not wholly by coincidence, polling information from FiveThirtyEight shows that around a same time, Trump’s capitulation rating for how he rubbed a coronavirus pestilence began to neatly decline.

2020 Poll on Trump

Chart display Trump Approval

Source: FiveThirtyEight

Consequently, if cases continue to grow – and a awaiting of re-imposed or extended internal lockdown orders increases – it could serve hole Mr. Trump’s recognition and by default lift Biden’s higher. These trends are quite vicious to watch given a arriving presidential discuss on Sep 29. The Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) has expelled what topics will be discussed.

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US Coronavirus Cases Surge – Tech Stocks to Recover?

Following a fall in equity markets in Mar by a virus-induced selloff, tech bonds rallied and outperformed other sectors. The expected matter was a reward put on digital services after shelter-in-place orders singular a series of outside activities. This might assistance explain because subscriptions for streaming services surged along with online selling activity and helped lift bonds like Amazon and Netflix higher.

If a spike in Covid-19 infections continues to persist, this energetic might once again play out and assistance lift tech bonds higher. While equity markets did recently lift back, indices like a SP 500 and tech-leaning Nasdaq seem to uncover signs of bottoming out. However, given a elemental circumstances, a liberation in equity markets might see a Nasdaq redeem during a faster rate relations to a peers.

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Nasdaq Outlook

The Nasdaq index might be in a early stages of a liberation as a tech-leaning benchmark jumps after bottoming out during a two-month low around 10599.00. The subsequent separator to transparent will expected be a informed stalling indicate during 11263.6 where a index formerly encountered attrition along a climb in mid-August and along a skirmish in early September.

Nasdaq Index – Daily Chart

Chart display Nasdaq Index

Nasdaq draft combined regulating TradingView

Clearing it 11263.6 with follow-through might buoy traders and revive certainty in a Nasdaq’s potential. In that scenario, a vicious separator to transparent will be a prior all-time high during 12074.1 a tech benchmark formerly hovered before spectacularly crashing over 10 percent in reduction than a month.

— Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Currency Analyst for

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